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Thread: The Man Who Accuratly Forecasted the Cred Crunch Crash

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    Default The Man Who Accuratly Forecasted the Credit Crunch Crash

    Churchill with Asquith was bright enough to realise the optimum economic and tax system for the UK. The only war Churchill ever lost was the war against the British Land owners in 1909 - the hereditary House of Lords.

    If he had won we would not have had land and house fuelled boom and bust. Rising land values and speculation fuelled all recessions and depressions. The Credit Crunch would not have happened, the 1929 crash would not have happened. WW2 would not have happened. He lost the biggest war, a war that would have had a greater impact on the world.

    Tax Scam by Fred Harrison


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    Fred Harrison identifying the root problem of the Credit Crunch

    Another good one by Fred Harrison

    Fred Harrison was the first economist, in 1997, to predict the Credit Crunch, which was a property and land crash. He warned Lawson in 1983 about the crash of 1990-91 and warned Brown in 1997 about the crash of 2008. How many more times does this guy need to be proven right before we listen?

    Fred identified an 18 year cycle in land/houses from boom to bust. He initially did not identify the 18 years, as it was done by US economists in the 1930s and forgotten. Fred found out and went over and interviewed the very old men. His research correlated with theirs. Fred was spot on. The US cycle was two years ahead of the UKs, which he predicted. He predicted the UK would crash in 2010, but the US market took the world with it. The problem is the economic and tax system all the western world uses irrespective of country and political colour. Brown did a great job of fire-fighting and tweaking as he went along, however once the tsunami came along it took all.

    He has the answer to stop it all - most traditional economists say there is no silver bullet that solves it. Fred say there is. He is backed by many economists around the world, Hudson in the US is a leading light.

    Unfortunately, the world is still insisting on using the existing economic model.

    Harrison identified that low wage earners in mainly rented property subsidise the rich.
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    How would have WW2 been avoided.

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    Quote Originally Posted by pablo42 View Post
    How would have WW2 been avoided.
    • There would have been a more even distribution of wealth.
    • Once proven in the UK and British Empire the system would have been adopted world-wide.
    • The USA would have adopted it as it primarily in the medern sense a US idea - Henry George.
    • WW1 may have been avoided as well.

    But say it could not have prevented WW1. After the war...
    • The UK and France could have insisted Germany adopt the economic system
    • Mass poverty eliminated in Germany that fuelled the climate that brought about Hitler.
    • Another motivator for WW2 was the 1929 crash. That would not have occurred.

    Churchill lost the war that mattered. A war to prevent wars.

    The importance of Blair ejecting the unelected self-interest 66 hereditary peers from the Lords cannot be underestimated. The path ahead is now free to implement Land Value Taxation with a major obstical gone - self-interest land owning peers.

    An obstacle is getting the hearts and minds of the owner-occupiers on-board. They think a tax on land will erode their homes value. LVT means all gain, even landowners and owner-occupiers.
    The new Amsterdam at Liverpool?
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    Deprived of its unique dockland waters Liverpool
    becomes a Venice without canals, just another city, no
    longer of special interest to anyone, least of all the
    tourist. Would we visit a modernised Venice of filled in
    canals to view its modern museum describing
    how it once was?


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    Big step. Once the First War happened, the Second was inevitable. If not 1939 then maybe ten or twenty years later.

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    Quote Originally Posted by pablo42 View Post
    Big step. Once the First War happened, the Second was inevitable. If not 1939 then maybe ten or twenty years later.
    WW2 wasn't inevitable at all. Economics dictated Hitler and fascists got to power - Germany was destitute with hyper-inflation post WW1. The said Hitler was pulling Germany up by its boot straps, using government infrastructure works to create employment and getting matters moving - the autobahns were a result. If LVT was adopted after WW1 - this funds infrastructure. If there is no 1929 Crash, which was land bubble based, then no one would have looked at a radical party. When there is an economic crash people turn inwards and frown on foreigners - that can be seen right now in the UK. When things go belly up people turn to radical ways.
    The new Amsterdam at Liverpool?
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    Deprived of its unique dockland waters Liverpool
    becomes a Venice without canals, just another city, no
    longer of special interest to anyone, least of all the
    tourist. Would we visit a modernised Venice of filled in
    canals to view its modern museum describing
    how it once was?


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    Fred Harrison got it spot on...

    Bust will follow boom - but when?

    By Fred Harrison Aug 05, 2005
    Fred Harrison

    Many think that the global real-estate bubble has nearly run its course. Fred Harrison disagrees. He thinks it has another three years to run. Here he tells us why.

    From California’s Silicon Valley through the hot spots of Europe all the way to the booming property market of Shanghai, house prices have hit record highs – driven upwards by easy money and the speculation it always causes. The effects of the boom have spread through the world economy, thanks to the impact the feel-good factor of rising house prices has on consumer spending, and hence on economic growth. But can the good times last? And what happens if they don’t and probably the biggest bubble in history turns to bust? We may not have long to wait to find out. If history is any guide, property prices around the world will start to fall in three years’ time and a global economic depression will follow in 2010 as consumer consumption collapses.

    This analysis is based on a theory of the property cycle. I have drawn on 300 years of business-cycle history and reached one firm conclusion: housing booms precede recessions. That said, there is a big difference between this bubble and past bubbles. In the past, national economies have operated with a degree of independence. Today, we all sink or swim together: the major economies of the world are synchronised into a single business cycle and so are property prices.

    Full article:
    Full Article
    The new Amsterdam at Liverpool?
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    Deprived of its unique dockland waters Liverpool
    becomes a Venice without canals, just another city, no
    longer of special interest to anyone, least of all the
    tourist. Would we visit a modernised Venice of filled in
    canals to view its modern museum describing
    how it once was?


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